LessWrong team member / moderator. I've been a LessWrong organizer since 2011, with roughly equal focus on the cultural, practical and intellectual aspects of the community. My first project was creating the Secular Solstice and helping groups across the world run their own version of it. More recently I've been interested in improving my own epistemic standards and helping others to do so as well.
fwiw I prefer people to write posts like this than-not, on the margin. I think operationalizing things is quite hard, I think the right norm is "well, you get a lot less credit for vague predictions with a lot of degrees of freedom", but, it's still good practice IMO to be in the habit of concretely predicting things.
I think this is its own thing. Skilled wizards can nerdsnipe on toothbrushes and irrelevant math problems. Skilled kings can get distracted by random political slights or not understand economics
I'm wondering if there are UI improvements that could happen on twitter where context from earlier is more automatically carried over.
my concern is substrate-impartial, and I don't particularly favor humans over AIs.
Do you care whether AIs are sentient (or, are there particular qualities you expect entities need to be valuable?). Do you basically expect any AI capable of overtaking humans to have those qualities?
(btw, I appreciate that even though you disagree a bunch with several common LW-ish viewpoints you're still here talking through things)
mm. I feel some kind of dissatisfied with the naming situation but it's (probably?) not actually important. I agree wizard feels righter-in-those-cases but wronger in some other ones.
Although, I think I'm now tracking a bit more subtlety here than I was before.
A distinction here is "ability to turn knowledge into stuff-happening-in-the-world", and "ability to cause stuff happening in the world." Does a very strong or dextrous person have more X-power than a weaker/clumsier person, all else equal? (I think your answer is "yes", but for purposes of the-lacking-in-your-soul there's an aesthetic that routes more through knowledge?)
I like this but from a standpoint of geek thematic pedantry, I think a more appropriate trope is ‘Artificer Power’.
I do realize the third syllable cuts into the usability a bunch. But, c’mon, wizards are not about welding or sewing.
A thought about the debate: I don't usually prefer going to talks as a format for learning, and I expect a transcript to be long and meandering as you touch on cruxes that are significant to you two but not necessarily to me.
A thing I would personally value after-the-fact is a summary of "what things did either of you learn?" (and I might generally prefer this for most debate/dialogue formats)
That all said, I think it's cool that you're holding events like these :)
(fixed formatting for Whispering Earring)
I also had a pretty similar experience.
If you have any thoughts on what would be more intuitive while accomplishing the goal, let me know.